Influencia de la zona de mercadeo en la suerte del apostador de loterías de cupones
The bettor, when acquiring a lottery coupon, buys a possibility with a very low probability of occurrence; when the region receives the tickets for sale, it acquires a probabilistic load, creating the illusion of influence on the draw. But the probability of the region is not transferable to the bet...
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Facultad de Ciencias Económicas - UNCUYO
2020
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Acceso en línea: | https://revistas.uncu.edu.ar/ojs3/index.php/cuyonomics/article/view/4326 |
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I11-R104article-43262021-12-28T00:13:26Z Influence of the marketing zone on the luck of the coupon lottery bettor Influencia de la zona de mercadeo en la suerte del apostador de loterías de cupones Casanova, Hugo The bettor, when acquiring a lottery coupon, buys a possibility with a very low probability of occurrence; when the region receives the tickets for sale, it acquires a probabilistic load, creating the illusion of influence on the draw. But the probability of the region is not transferable to the bettor. The former makes the game of very low participation, but neither the operator nor the bettors are passive in the face of this, there is much at stake. In this research, based on the information of 40 sequential draws of a lottery in Venezuela, the area is ruled out as a lucky region through the construction of a weighted distribution model which, incorporating all the actors, explains why, as the jackpot accumulates, overall sales are increased without influence from the area. The game takes place in an interesting interrelation between the actors, eliminating the jackpot fatigue in a collective action promoted by FOMO. El apostador, al adquirir un cupón de lotería, compra una posibilidad con muy baja probabilidad de ocurrencia; la región, al recibir las boletas para la venta, adquiere una carga probabilística, creando la ilusión de influencia sobre el sorteo. Sin embargo, la probabilidad de la región no es transferible al apostador. Lo primero induce una bajísima participación; no obstante, ni el operador ni los apostadores son pasivos frente a esto, hay mucho "en juego". En esta investigación, a partir de la información de 40 sorteos secuenciales de una lotería en Venezuela, se descarta a la zona como región lucky, a través de la construcción de un modelo de distribución ponderada que, incorporando a todos los actores, explica por qué, al acumularse el bote, se incrementan las ventas generales, sin influencia de la zona. El juego ocurre en una interesante interrelación entre los actores que elimina la fatigue jackpot en una acción colectiva promovida por FOMO. Facultad de Ciencias Económicas - UNCUYO 2020-12-10 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion application/pdf https://revistas.uncu.edu.ar/ojs3/index.php/cuyonomics/article/view/4326 10.48162/rev.42.025 Cuyonomics. Investigaciones en Economía Regional; Vol. 4 Núm. 6 (2020): diciembre-mayo; 57-81 p. 2591-555X 2591-555X spa https://revistas.uncu.edu.ar/ojs3/index.php/cuyonomics/article/view/4326/3130 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0 |
institution |
Universidad Nacional de Cuyo |
building |
Revistas en línea |
filtrotop_str |
Revistas en línea |
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Cuyonomics. Investigaciones en Economía Regional |
journal_title_str |
Cuyonomics. Investigaciones en Economía Regional |
institution_str |
I-11 |
repository_str |
R-104 |
language |
spa |
format |
Online |
author |
Casanova, Hugo |
spellingShingle |
Casanova, Hugo Influencia de la zona de mercadeo en la suerte del apostador de loterías de cupones |
author_facet |
Casanova, Hugo |
author_sort |
Casanova, Hugo |
title |
Influencia de la zona de mercadeo en la suerte del apostador de loterías de cupones |
title_short |
Influencia de la zona de mercadeo en la suerte del apostador de loterías de cupones |
title_full |
Influencia de la zona de mercadeo en la suerte del apostador de loterías de cupones |
title_fullStr |
Influencia de la zona de mercadeo en la suerte del apostador de loterías de cupones |
title_full_unstemmed |
Influencia de la zona de mercadeo en la suerte del apostador de loterías de cupones |
title_sort |
influence of the marketing zone on the luck of the coupon lottery bettor |
description |
The bettor, when acquiring a lottery coupon, buys a possibility with a very low probability of occurrence; when the region receives the tickets for sale, it acquires a probabilistic load, creating the illusion of influence on the draw. But the probability of the region is not transferable to the bettor. The former makes the game of very low participation, but neither the operator nor the bettors are passive in the face of this, there is much at stake. In this research, based on the information of 40 sequential draws of a lottery in Venezuela, the area is ruled out as a lucky region through the construction of a weighted distribution model which, incorporating all the actors, explains why, as the jackpot accumulates, overall sales are increased without influence from the area. The game takes place in an interesting interrelation between the actors, eliminating the jackpot fatigue in a collective action promoted by FOMO. |
publisher |
Facultad de Ciencias Económicas - UNCUYO |
publishDate |
2020 |
url |
https://revistas.uncu.edu.ar/ojs3/index.php/cuyonomics/article/view/4326 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT casanovahugo influenceofthemarketingzoneontheluckofthecouponlotterybettor AT casanovahugo influenciadelazonademercadeoenlasuertedelapostadordeloteriasdecupones |
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